Record #6557
Trump and the Republicans will suffer a big defeat in the November 2026 midterm elections, assuming the election is fair
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6557 The Bulwark · Bill Kristol: Are the Winds Finally Shifting?
Original quotehe's now in popular again, and they're going to have a big defeat, I think, in 2026, assuming it's a fair election
Quote begins at 18:12
Prediction time2026-04-13
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-04-13
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
November 2026 midterm results show Republicans losing control of at least one chamber of Congress and/or net losses widely characterized as a major defeat
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: November 2026 midterm results show Republicans losing control of at least one chamber of Congress and/or net losses widely characterized as a major defeat Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.