Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #6330

US inflation will keep rising above the 4% recorded in March 2026

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6330

    The Young Turks · Meloni Ditches Trump - April 15, 2026

    Original quote
    Inflation was 4% in March. You felt it, I felt it, we all felt it, 4% in March. And it's going to keep going up despite the cope that we just heard from various Fox News anchors.
    Quote begins at 59:03
Prediction time2026-04-16

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-16
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-12-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

BLS CPI reports show the annual inflation rate rising above 4% in a month after March 2026

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because BLS reported CPI-U rose 4.2% over the 12 months ended May 2026 — above the 4% March reading and the largest 12-month increase since April 2023 — driven by a 23.5% annual jump in energy prices from the Iran war. That satisfies the criterion of a post-March 2026 month above 4%, even though April came in at 3.8% and June eased to 3.5%.. Applied stored rule: BLS CPI reports show the annual inflation rate rising above 4% in a month after March 2026.

Outcome evidence

BLS reported CPI-U rose 4.2% over the 12 months ended May 2026 — above the 4% March reading and the largest 12-month increase since April 2023 — driven by a 23.5% annual jump in energy prices from the Iran war. That satisfies the criterion of a post-March 2026 month above 4%, even though April came in at 3.8% and June eased to 3.5%.

Outcome date: 2026-06-10

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09

Basis: research