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Record #6286

Public opposition to the US war with Iran will keep growing as the war continues

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6286

    The Young Turks · Jones Dumps Trump - April 1, 2026

    Original quote
    We started off with this war being incredibly unpopular, and it's only going to continue getting more and more unpopular as it continues.
    Quote begins at 59:19
Prediction time2026-04-02

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-02
FirmnessFirm
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve by2026-07-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

National polling shows opposition to the US war in Iran higher in later months than in early April 2026

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because Quinnipiac's Jul 29, 2026 national poll found 60% of voters oppose US military action against Iran vs 34% support - the highest opposition recorded since Quinnipiac began asking the question in early March 2026, i.e. above the early-April level. Fox News (Jul 17-20) found 56% opposed and AP-NORC found 64% saying the fighting is not worth the risks.. Applied stored rule: National polling shows opposition to the US war in Iran higher in later months than in early April 2026.

Outcome evidence

Quinnipiac's Jul 29, 2026 national poll found 60% of voters oppose US military action against Iran vs 34% support - the highest opposition recorded since Quinnipiac began asking the question in early March 2026, i.e. above the early-April level. Fox News (Jul 17-20) found 56% opposed and AP-NORC found 64% saying the fighting is not worth the risks.

Outcome date: 2026-07-29

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09

Basis: research