Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
All sections

Record #6139

The US will pursue a regime-change war against Iran

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6139

    The Young Turks · Surveillance State Watchlists - January 29, 2026

    Original quote
    unfortunately, 11 and Graham are very likely correct about the US pursuing a regime change war in Iran, something that they've been egging on for months
    Quote begins at 1:29:44
Prediction time2026-01-30

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-30
FirmnessLoose
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve by2026-12-31
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

The US launches a military campaign against Iran whose stated or evident objective is toppling the Iranian government (not a one-off strike on nuclear sites)

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because The US and Israel launched a 40-day campaign against Iran beginning Feb 28, 2026 (nearly 900 strikes in the first 12 hours) that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei; Trump told Iranians 'when we are finished, take over your government' and said on Feb 13 regime change 'would be the best thing to ever happen,' while Netanyahu said the strikes aimed to create 'optimal conditions for the opposition to overthrow their go.... Applied stored rule: The US launches a military campaign against Iran whose stated or evident objective is toppling the Iranian government (not a one-off strike on nuclear sites).

Outcome evidence

The US and Israel launched a 40-day campaign against Iran beginning Feb 28, 2026 (nearly 900 strikes in the first 12 hours) that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei; Trump told Iranians 'when we are finished, take over your government' and said on Feb 13 regime change 'would be the best thing to ever happen,' while Netanyahu said the strikes aimed to create 'optimal conditions for the opposition to overthrow their government.' Far beyond a one-off strike on nuclear sites.

Outcome date: 2026-02-28

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09

Basis: research