Record #6073

Ken Paxton will win the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election against Democrat James Talarico

Ted Cruz: On Verdict (Ted Cruz) · Prediction made 2026-05-27

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #60732026-05-27
Verdict (Ted Cruz) · Election Night: Paxton Defeats Cornyn—What Happened, Why & What’s Next
Original quote
it is easy to say it's Texas, it's red, We're gonna win, and I believe we are gonna win
Timestamp not recorded
Full episode · omny.fm

Prediction time2026-05-27

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-27

FirmnessFirm

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-11-03

Boldness73 · Bold

How the call settles

Certified November 2026 Texas Senate results show Ken Paxton winning

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Certified November 2026 Texas Senate results show Ken Paxton winning Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.

Polling contextken-paxton

Margin -4.3 points · as of 2026-05-27 · Source