Record #6052
U.S. annual motor-vehicle crash deaths, currently about 40,000 per year, will fall to nearly zero within the next decade (by ~2036) as autonomous/self-driving vehicles spread
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6052 Verdict (Ted Cruz) · Ignorance & Ideology: AOC's Twisted Commie History of America
Original quoteEvery year there are about forty thousand people who are killed in car accidents. Within the next decade, we're going to see that number drop to nearly zero.
Timestamp not recorded
Prediction time2026-05-11
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-05-11
FirmnessFirm
TopicOther
Resolve by2036-12-31
Boldness70 · Bold
How the call settles
NHTSA annual U.S. traffic-fatality totals for a year on or before 2036 show deaths near zero (a decline of roughly 90% or more from ~40,000)
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: NHTSA annual U.S. traffic-fatality totals for a year on or before 2036 show deaths near zero (a decline of roughly 90% or more from ~40,000) Deadline or event: 2036-12-31.