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Record #6030

The US Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz will stop Iran's oil exports, halting the ghost-fleet tanker traffic and Iran's oil revenue

Ted Cruz: On Verdict (Ted Cruz) · Prediction made

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6030

    Verdict (Ted Cruz) · No Deal: Trump Moves to Blockade the Strait of Hormuz as Iran Defies Nuclear Demands plus Swalwell Bombshell

    Original quote
    That ghost fleet will not be able to travel through the Strait of Hormuz, will not be able to carry any Iranian oil. It means there's going to be no Iranian oil being sold, no money coming in.
    Timestamp not recorded
    Full episode · omny.fm
Prediction time2026-04-13

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-13
FirmnessFirm
TopicEconomy
Resolve by2026-12-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

Settles YES if tanker-tracking/export data show Iranian seaborne crude exports fall to essentially zero while the US blockade is in force

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Settles YES if tanker-tracking/export data show Iranian seaborne crude exports fall to essentially zero while the US blockade is in force Deadline or event: 2026-12-31.

Correction history

  1. Outcome

    The previously published verdict has been withheld from public scoring because its semantic resolution date did not meet the public validation contract. No replacement verdict has been published.