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Record #6018

Trump's next Attorney General nominee will be confirmed by the Senate, with Republicans supplying at least 51 votes

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6018

    Verdict (Ted Cruz) · Trump's Iran Address, Pam Bondi Leaving & ActBlue Facing Criminal Liability

    Original quote
    if it's any reasonable appointment, I think you'll see the Republicans line up and give the president at least fifty one votes
    Timestamp not recorded
Prediction time2026-04-03

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-03
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-12-31
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

The Senate confirms Trump's next Attorney General nominee with at least 51 yes votes

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because Todd Blanche, Trump's next attorney general nominee after Pam Bondi, was confirmed 50-49 in an overnight vote gaveled down at 4:31 a.m. on August 8, 2026 - Republicans supplied only 50 yes votes, with Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski voting no, short of the 'at least fifty one' Cruz predicted. | NEAR MISS (review 2026-08-08): Core call held (Blanche was confirmed) and Republicans supplied 50 votes against the predic.... Applied stored rule: The Senate confirms Trump's next Attorney General nominee with at least 51 yes votes.

Outcome evidence

Todd Blanche, Trump's next attorney general nominee after Pam Bondi, was confirmed 50-49 in an overnight vote gaveled down at 4:31 a.m. on August 8, 2026 - Republicans supplied only 50 yes votes, with Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski voting no, short of the 'at least fifty one' Cruz predicted. | NEAR MISS (review 2026-08-08): Core call held (Blanche was confirmed) and Republicans supplied 50 votes against the predicted 51 - a one-vote, ~2% miss.

Outcome date: 2026-08-08

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09

Basis: research