Record #5978
The Senate confirmation vote on Mark Wayne Mullin for DHS Secretary will be 54-46, with 46 Democrats voting no
IncorrectRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5978 Verdict (Ted Cruz) · What's the Objective in Iran? plus New DHS Secretary & Big Texas Primaries
Original quoteSo my prediction is the vote on Mark Wayne Mullen will be fifty four to forty six. That forty six Democrats will vote no.
Quote begins at 26:09
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
How the call settles
The recorded Senate roll-call vote confirming Mullin as DHS Secretary is 54-46
Our reasoning
NO on the research record because The recorded roll call on March 23, 2026 was 54-45, not 54-46. 52 Republicans plus Democrats Fetterman and Heinrich voted yes; the 45 no votes were 44 Democrats plus Republican Rand Paul, and Sen. Gallego did not vote — so 44 Democrats voted no, not 46. | NEAR MISS (review 2026-08-08): Predicted 54-46, actual 54-45 - the yes count was exact and the no count off by one absent senator (~2%), well inside the 10% band.. Applied stored rule: The recorded Senate roll-call vote confirming Mullin as DHS Secretary is 54-46.
Outcome evidence
The recorded roll call on March 23, 2026 was 54-45, not 54-46. 52 Republicans plus Democrats Fetterman and Heinrich voted yes; the 45 no votes were 44 Democrats plus Republican Rand Paul, and Sen. Gallego did not vote — so 44 Democrats voted no, not 46. | NEAR MISS (review 2026-08-08): Predicted 54-46, actual 54-45 - the yes count was exact and the no count off by one absent senator (~2%), well inside the 10% band.
Outcome date: 2026-03-23
Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09
Basis: research