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Record #5952

The Supreme Court will decide the Trump tariffs case by a 5-4 vote

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5952

    Verdict (Ted Cruz) · Detailed Prediction: Trump's Tariffs before the Supreme Court-What's Going to Happen

    Original quote
    I'm going to further predict really that the Supreme Court is going to uphold it by a vote of five to four. That it is going to be close
    Quote begins at 08:59
Prediction time2026-02-11

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-02-11
FirmnessFirm
TopicEconomy
Resolve by2026-06-30
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

The published decision in Trump v. V.O.S. Selections is decided 5-4.

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because The February 20, 2026 decision was 6-3, not 5-4: Chief Justice Roberts was joined by Sotomayor, Kagan, Gorsuch, Barrett and Jackson, with Thomas, Alito and Kavanaugh dissenting.. Applied stored rule: The published decision in Trump v. V.O.S. Selections is decided 5-4.

Outcome evidence

The February 20, 2026 decision was 6-3, not 5-4: Chief Justice Roberts was joined by Sotomayor, Kagan, Gorsuch, Barrett and Jackson, with Thomas, Alito and Kavanaugh dissenting.

Outcome date: 2026-02-20

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09

Basis: research