Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
All sections

Record #5850

Ken Paxton will win the November 2026 US Senate race in Texas

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5850

    David Pakman · They can no longer keep the story straight

    Original quote
    If you just ask me straight up, who do I think ultimately wins? I think Paxton's favored.
    Jump to quote · 43:11
Prediction time2026-06-02

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-06-02
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness56 · Notable

How the call settles

Certified results of the November 2026 Texas US Senate race show Ken Paxton winning

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Certified results of the November 2026 Texas US Senate race show Ken Paxton winning Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.

Polling contextken-paxton

Margin -1.5 points · as of 2026-06-02 · Source