Record #5842
Republican Ken Paxton will defeat Democrat James Talarico in the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5842 David Pakman · Texas collapse and health collapse in the same day
Original quoteAnd I think if I'm, if I'm honest and I always am with you, Texas is probably still leaning Republican in this raid race nationally, state wide is what I mean.
Jump to quote · 17:21
Prediction time2026-05-27
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-05-27
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness58 · Notable
How the call settles
Certified November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate results show Ken Paxton winning
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Certified November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate results show Ken Paxton winning Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.
Polling contextken-paxton
Margin -4.3 points · as of 2026-05-27 · Source