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Record #5725

US gasoline prices will rise further above the roughly $3.50/gallon level reached by 2026-03-09

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5725

    David Pakman · Global financial panic unleashed by Trump’s Iran war

    Original quote
    And this is only going to lead oil prices higher and it's going to leave gas prices higher, which leads to everything getting more expensive because the transportation of most of the stuff we have is based on petroleum based fuels.
    Jump to quote · 09:20
Prediction time2026-03-09

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-03-09
FirmnessFirm
TopicEconomy
Resolve by2026-04-30
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

AAA/EIA national average retail gasoline price exceeds its 2026-03-09 level of about $3.50/gallon at some point before the end of April 2026.

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because EIA weekly national average rose above the 2026-03-09 level of $3.502/gal in every subsequent week through April: $3.720 (3/16), $3.961 (3/23), $3.990 (3/30), $4.120 (4/06), $4.123 (4/13), $4.123 (4/27).. Applied stored rule: AAA/EIA national average retail gasoline price exceeds its 2026-03-09 level of about $3.50/gallon at some point before the end of April 2026.

Outcome evidence

EIA weekly national average rose above the 2026-03-09 level of $3.502/gal in every subsequent week through April: $3.720 (3/16), $3.961 (3/23), $3.990 (3/30), $4.120 (4/06), $4.123 (4/13), $4.123 (4/27).

Outcome date: 2026-03-16

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09

Basis: research