Record #5709
The U.S. military campaign against Iran will continue about three to four more weeks from March 2, 2026 (ending by roughly the end of March 2026)
IncorrectRecorded occurrence
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Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5709 David Pakman · No war promise collapses as Trump bombs Iran
Original quotemy prediction is this will go another three to four weeks, which is what they've said
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How the call settles
Major U.S. combat operations against Iran end roughly three to four weeks after March 2, 2026
Our reasoning
NO on the research record because Major U.S. combat operations did not end within three to four weeks of March 2, 2026: the U.S. launched a new aerial campaign against Iran on March 19 to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a ceasefire came only on April 8, a naval blockade followed in late April, and strikes resumed after the ceasefire framework collapsed in early July 2026.. Applied stored rule: Major U.S. combat operations against Iran end roughly three to four weeks after March 2, 2026.
Outcome evidence
Major U.S. combat operations did not end within three to four weeks of March 2, 2026: the U.S. launched a new aerial campaign against Iran on March 19 to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a ceasefire came only on April 8, a naval blockade followed in late April, and strikes resumed after the ceasefire framework collapsed in early July 2026.
Outcome date: 2026-03-30
Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09
Basis: research