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Record #5644

Donald Trump will not be convicted in a Senate impeachment trial - no impeachment trial will produce the 14-15 Republican votes needed to convict him

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5644

    David Pakman · ICE losing the country as Trump goes bad in Detroit

    Original quote
    And Trump's not getting convicted in the Senate. I think what whatever you could think of, if Trump dropped a nuke on France, I believe that you would not get 14 Republicans or 15 or whatever number you would need
    Jump to quote · 1:02:57
Prediction time2026-01-15

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-15
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve byopen
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

No Senate impeachment trial of Donald Trump results in conviction (67 votes) during his second term

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: No Senate impeachment trial of Donald Trump results in conviction (67 votes) during his second term Deadline or event: open.