Record #5566

Ken Paxton will win the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election by at least four percentage points

Andrew Kolvet: On Charlie Kirk · Prediction made 2026-05-19

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #55662026-05-19
Charlie Kirk · President Trump's Biggest Endorsement
Original quote
And by the way, I think he's going to win the general I think he's going to run away with it. I think minimum of four points, but I think he could end up winning by like six seven.
Quote begins at 41:39
Full episode · omny.fm

Prediction time2026-05-19

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-19

FirmnessFirm

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-11-03

Boldness73 · Bold

How the call settles

Certified November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate results show Ken Paxton winning by a margin of 4 percentage points or more.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Certified November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate results show Ken Paxton winning by a margin of 4 percentage points or more. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.

Polling contextken-paxton

Margin -4.3 points · as of 2026-05-19 · Source