Record #5547

Ken Paxton will win the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff against John Cornyn on May 26, 2026

Andrew Kolvet: On Charlie Kirk · Prediction made 2026-04-22

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #55472026-04-22
Charlie Kirk · Down with the SPLC + The Greatness of Justice Alito
Original quote
Now Ken Paxton's, you know, surging in the polls, it's probably gonna win that that primary race for Senate in Texas.
Quote begins at 33:44
Full episode · omny.fm

Prediction time2026-04-22

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-22

FirmnessLoose

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-05-26

Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

Texas Republican Senate primary runoff results show Ken Paxton defeating John Cornyn

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because Ken Paxton defeated incumbent John Cornyn in the May 26, 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff with 63.8% of roughly 1.38 million votes.. Applied stored rule: Texas Republican Senate primary runoff results show Ken Paxton defeating John Cornyn.

Outcome evidence

Ken Paxton defeated incumbent John Cornyn in the May 26, 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff with 63.8% of roughly 1.38 million votes.

Outcome date: 2026-05-26

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-08

Basis: research

Polling contextken-paxton

Margin 5.0 points · as of 2026-04-22 · Source