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Record #5509

Turnout in the 2026 Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff will be higher than turnout in the March 3, 2026 primary

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5509

    Charlie Kirk · James Talarico, False Moderate and False Prophet

    Original quote
    that is a lot of votes, and mark my words, turnout's going to be even higher for the next for the runoff
    Quote begins at 03:16
Prediction time2026-03-04

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-03-04
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-05-26
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

Official Texas Secretary of State totals show more votes cast in the Republican U.S. Senate runoff than in the March 3, 2026 Republican U.S. Senate primary

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because Turnout fell sharply: roughly 2.16 million Republicans voted in the March 3, 2026 primary versus about 1.38 million votes cast in the May 26 Republican US Senate runoff — roughly 800,000 fewer, not higher.. Applied stored rule: Official Texas Secretary of State totals show more votes cast in the Republican U.S. Senate runoff than in the March 3, 2026 Republican U.S. Senate primary.

Outcome evidence

Turnout fell sharply: roughly 2.16 million Republicans voted in the March 3, 2026 primary versus about 1.38 million votes cast in the May 26 Republican US Senate runoff — roughly 800,000 fewer, not higher.

Outcome date: 2026-05-26

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-08

Basis: research