Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #5492

The average American tax refund for the 2026 filing season will be about 11% higher than the prior year

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5492

    Charlie Kirk · Mamdani's War on New York Homeowners

    Original quote
    And by the way, your tax return is going to be eleven percent higher than it was the year before on average.
    Timestamp not recorded
Prediction time2026-02-19

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-02-19
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-04-30
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

IRS filing-season statistics show the average federal individual tax refund in 2026 up roughly 11% versus 2025

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because IRS filing season statistics for the week ending April 17, 2026 show an average refund of $3,275 versus $2,942 a year earlier, up 11.3% — matching the 'about 11%' call (the April 3 snapshot was +11.1%, $3,462 vs $3,116).. Applied stored rule: IRS filing-season statistics show the average federal individual tax refund in 2026 up roughly 11% versus 2025.

Outcome evidence

IRS filing season statistics for the week ending April 17, 2026 show an average refund of $3,275 versus $2,942 a year earlier, up 11.3% — matching the 'about 11%' call (the April 3 snapshot was +11.1%, $3,462 vs $3,116).

Outcome date: 2026-04-24

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-08

Basis: research