Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #5361

The US national average diesel price will exceed its all-time high of about $5.81/gallon within roughly a week (by ~May 21, 2026)

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5361

    Breaking Points · 5/14/26: JD Gaslights On Trump Not Caring About US Finances, US Test Scores Plummet, Tucker Humiliates Kevin O'Leary

    Original quote
    The national average of diesel today is five sixty six gallon, and the all time high is five eighty one. So give it what a week and we'll probably be there.
    Timestamp not recorded
Prediction time2026-05-14

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-14
FirmnessLoose
TopicEconomy
Resolve by2026-05-25
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

US national average on-highway diesel price (EIA/AAA) reaches or exceeds $5.81/gallon

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because The EIA weekly US on-highway diesel average peaked at $5.640/gal (week of May 4, 2026) and then fell — $5.639 May 11, $5.596 May 18, $5.523 May 25 — never reaching the $5.81 record (set June 19, 2022) by the May 25, 2026 deadline. | NEAR MISS (review 2026-08-08): Diesel peaked at $5.640 versus the named $5.81 record — 2.9% short, comfortably inside the ~10% numeric near-miss band.. Applied stored rule: US national average on-highway diesel price (EIA/AAA) reaches or exceeds $5.81/gallon.

Outcome evidence

The EIA weekly US on-highway diesel average peaked at $5.640/gal (week of May 4, 2026) and then fell — $5.639 May 11, $5.596 May 18, $5.523 May 25 — never reaching the $5.81 record (set June 19, 2022) by the May 25, 2026 deadline. | NEAR MISS (review 2026-08-08): Diesel peaked at $5.640 versus the named $5.81 record — 2.9% short, comfortably inside the ~10% numeric near-miss band.

Outcome date: 2026-05-25

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-01

Basis: research