Record #5341

Susan Collins will lose the November 2026 Maine Senate race to Graham Platner

Krystal Ball: On Breaking Points · Prediction made 2026-05-05

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #53412026-05-05
Breaking Points · 5/5/26: Iran Hits Critical UAE Facility, Prof Pape On Iran Escalation, Trump Courts Fetterman, Voting Rights Act Debate
Original quote
You've got Maine with grim Plattner looking very good that Susan Collins won't be able to hang on this time.
Timestamp not recorded
Full episode · omny.fm

Prediction time2026-05-05

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-05

FirmnessLoose

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-11-03

Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

Graham Platner defeats Susan Collins in the November 2026 Maine US Senate general election

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Graham Platner defeats Susan Collins in the November 2026 Maine US Senate general election Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.

Polling contextsusan-collins

Margin -6.0 points · as of 2026-05-05 · Source