Record #5340

Democrats will win control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 2026 midterm elections.

Krystal Ball: On Breaking Points · Prediction made 2026-05-05

Pending

2 sourced occurrences

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 2 · source record #53402026-05-05
Breaking Points · 5/5/26: Iran Hits Critical UAE Facility, Prof Pape On Iran Escalation, Trump Courts Fetterman, Voting Rights Act Debate
Original quote
Oh, I think Democrats are still going to take the House. I just think it will be a smaller mom.
Quote begins at 1:16:12
Full episode · omny.fm
Occurrence 2 of 2 · source record #53482026-05-11
Breaking Points · 5/11/26: Bibi Demands More War, Dire Economic Warnings, VA Maps Struck Down
Original quote
But you know, I think I think you're right. I think Democrats probably still favored to win the House.
Quote begins at 58:41
Full episode · omny.fm

Prediction time2026-05-05

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-05

FirmnessLoose

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-11-03

Boldness100 · Audacious

How the call settles

YES if Democrats win at least 218 U.S. House seats in the November 2026 elections; NO if they do not.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if Democrats win at least 218 U.S. House seats in the November 2026 elections; NO if they do not. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.