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Record #5331

The US national average gas price will reach $5.00 a gallon within two months (by ~end of June 2026)

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5331

    Breaking Points · 4/30/26: Trump Orders Indefinite Blockade, US Tries To Collapse Iran Economy, Trump Delusional Oil Bet

    Original quote
    It will be four to fifty probably by the end of the month, and it'll be five within two months.
    Timestamp not recorded
Prediction time2026-04-30

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-30
FirmnessFirm
TopicEconomy
Resolve by2026-06-30
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

AAA/EIA national average retail gasoline price hits $5.00/gallon on or before ~2026-06-30

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because The AAA national average never reached $5.00; it topped out around $4.56 on May 21, 2026, then fell, with June 2026 averaging $4.05 and the average around $4.12 by late June. It was still only $4.09 on July 30, 2026. | NEAR MISS (review 2026-08-08): Gas peaked at $4.56 inside the window, 8.8% short of the named $5.00 figure — within the ~10% numeric near-miss band, with the direction of the call right.. Applied stored rule: AAA/EIA national average retail gasoline price hits $5.00/gallon on or before ~2026-06-30.

Outcome evidence

The AAA national average never reached $5.00; it topped out around $4.56 on May 21, 2026, then fell, with June 2026 averaging $4.05 and the average around $4.12 by late June. It was still only $4.09 on July 30, 2026. | NEAR MISS (review 2026-08-08): Gas peaked at $4.56 inside the window, 8.8% short of the named $5.00 figure — within the ~10% numeric near-miss band, with the direction of the call right.

Outcome date: 2026-06-30

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-01

Basis: research