Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #5307

The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at its next policy meeting because of high inflation from the Iran war

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5307

    Breaking Points · 4/15/26: Troop Surge To Iran, Dire Economic Warnings, JD Vance Begs Voters, Italy Clashes With Israel

    Original quote
    We'll see what happens with the FED two rights high inflation. How are you going to affect rates? Almost certainly not going to cut rates.
    Timestamp not recorded
Prediction time2026-04-15

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-15
FirmnessFirm
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve by2026-06-30
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

The FOMC statement at its next meeting after 2026-04-15 leaves the federal funds target range unchanged or raises it

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because The first FOMC meeting after 2026-04-15 was April 28-29, 2026, and the Committee left the federal funds target range unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% (8-4 vote), citing inflation that is 'elevated, in part reflecting the recent increase in global energy prices.'. Applied stored rule: The FOMC statement at its next meeting after 2026-04-15 leaves the federal funds target range unchanged or raises it.

Outcome evidence

The first FOMC meeting after 2026-04-15 was April 28-29, 2026, and the Committee left the federal funds target range unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% (8-4 vote), citing inflation that is 'elevated, in part reflecting the recent increase in global energy prices.'

Outcome date: 2026-04-29

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-01

Basis: research