Record #5285

Iran will not return the Strait of Hormuz to the pre-war status quo of unrestricted free passage

Krystal Ball: On Breaking Points · Prediction made 2026-04-06

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #52852026-04-06
Breaking Points · 4/6/26: Trump Moves Iran Deadline, Israel Hit By Missiles, US Pilot Rescue Operation
Original quote
the Iranians have no intention actually of ever going back to the previous status quo with regard to the straight of Foremataus.
Quote begins at 08:47
Full episode · omny.fm

Prediction time2026-04-06

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-06

FirmnessFirm

TopicForeign Policy

Resolve by2027-04-06

Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

Iran does not restore unrestricted pre-war free passage through the Strait of Hormuz (continues to control/permission or toll transits)

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Iran does not restore unrestricted pre-war free passage through the Strait of Hormuz (continues to control/permission or toll transits) Deadline or event: 2027-04-06.