Record #5275
The US economy will enter a recession
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5275 Breaking Points · 4/2/26: US Allies Turn On Trump, Israel Takes Massive Fire, Iran War Ending US Dominance, AI Bubble
Original quoteAnd the worst part is that probably just means a recession.
Timestamp not recorded
Prediction time2026-04-02
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-04-02
FirmnessLoose
TopicEconomy
Resolve by2027-06-30
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
NBER dates a US recession beginning in 2026 (or two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth in 2026)
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: NBER dates a US recession beginning in 2026 (or two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth in 2026) Deadline or event: 2027-06-30.