Record #5258

No nuclear weapon will be used in the Iran war (Saagar puts the odds of use at about 5%)

Saagar Enjeti: On Breaking Points · Prediction made 2026-03-24

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #52582026-03-24
Breaking Points · 3/24/26: Trump Iran Negotiation Fantasy, Insider Trading On Iran War, Pentagon Preps Boots On The Ground
Original quote
But it's what I'm at like five percent, you're like fifty.
Timestamp not recorded
Full episode · omny.fm

Prediction time2026-03-24

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-03-24

FirmnessLoose

TopicForeign Policy

Resolve byopen

Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

No nuclear weapon is detonated by any party (US, Israel, or Iran) in the course of the 2026 Iran war

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: No nuclear weapon is detonated by any party (US, Israel, or Iran) in the course of the 2026 Iran war Deadline or event: open.