Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #5247

The US national average gasoline price will reach $4.00 a gallon by about March 22, 2026

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5247

    Breaking Points · 3/19/26: Energy Infrastructure Burns, Trump Wants $200 Billion For War, Energy Prices Spike, Mearsheimer Exposes US Disaster

    Original quote
    National average right now is three eighty eight. It will be four dollars a gallon probably by the end of the week.
    Quote begins at 35:48
Prediction time2026-03-19

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-03-19
FirmnessLoose
TopicEconomy
Resolve by2026-03-22
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

AAA/EIA national average price for regular gasoline reaches or exceeds $4.00/gallon on or before roughly March 22, 2026

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because The AAA national average did not reach $4.00 by roughly March 22, 2026. It was still $3.98 on March 26, 2026, and only exceeded $4/gallon in early April, reaching $4.08 on April 2, 2026 — the first time above $4 in four years. | NEAR MISS (review 2026-08-08): Classic near miss on both tests: $3.98 vs the named $4.00 (0.5% short) at the deadline, and $4.00 was crossed April 2, only ~11 days past the stated window.. Applied stored rule: AAA/EIA national average price for regular gasoline reaches or exceeds $4.00/gallon on or before roughly March 22, 2026.

Outcome evidence

The AAA national average did not reach $4.00 by roughly March 22, 2026. It was still $3.98 on March 26, 2026, and only exceeded $4/gallon in early April, reaching $4.08 on April 2, 2026 — the first time above $4 in four years. | NEAR MISS (review 2026-08-08): Classic near miss on both tests: $3.98 vs the named $4.00 (0.5% short) at the deadline, and $4.00 was crossed April 2, only ~11 days past the stated window.

Outcome date: 2026-03-22

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-01

Basis: research