Record #5197
The US and Israel will not topple the Iranian government with airstrikes alone (no regime change without a ground invasion)
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5197 Breaking Points · 2/28/26: K&S React: TRUMP LAUNCHES REGIME CHANGE IRAN WAR
Original quoteit is highly unlikely that you're going to be able to achieve it simply with airstrikes where we can you know, fly over, drop some bombs and get out
Timestamp not recorded
Prediction time2026-02-28
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-02-28
FirmnessLoose
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve byopen
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
The Islamic Republic government in Tehran does not fall as the result of an air-only campaign; its fall without foreign ground forces entering Iran would settle this false
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: The Islamic Republic government in Tehran does not fall as the result of an air-only campaign; its fall without foreign ground forces entering Iran would settle this false Deadline or event: open.