Record #5193

The US will attack Iran within days (by roughly mid-March 2026)

Krystal Ball: On Breaking Points · Prediction made 2026-02-25

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #51932026-02-25
Breaking Points · 2/25/26: BP Team REACTS Trump SOTU: Iran, Data Centers, Immigration
Original quote
To now have her at that speech when you know we're all basically expecting that this is coming any day
Timestamp not recorded
Full episode · omny.fm

Prediction time2026-02-25

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-02-25

FirmnessLoose

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-03-15

Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

The United States conducts acknowledged military strikes on Iran on or before roughly mid-March 2026

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because Three days after this Feb 25, 2026 statement, the US launched acknowledged strikes on Iranian territory on February 28, 2026 (Operation Epic Fury), well before the mid-March deadline.. Applied stored rule: The United States conducts acknowledged military strikes on Iran on or before roughly mid-March 2026.

Outcome evidence

Three days after this Feb 25, 2026 statement, the US launched acknowledged strikes on Iranian territory on February 28, 2026 (Operation Epic Fury), well before the mid-March deadline.

Outcome date: 2026-02-28

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-01

Basis: research