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Record #5184

The American public will not support a US war with Iran

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5184

    Breaking Points · 2/19/26: Iran War Imminent, Israel Detains Tucker, Prince Andrew Arrested

    Original quote
    there's going to be zero appetite from the American people to suffer on behalf of this war of choice against Iraq.
    Quote begins at 13:26
Prediction time2026-02-19

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-02-19
FirmnessFirm
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve by2026-12-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

National public opinion polling shows a majority of Americans opposing US military action against Iran

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because Quinnipiac's March 9, 2026 national poll found over half of voters opposed US military action against Iran (74% opposed ground troops); Marist in March 2026 had 56% opposed, Pew (Mar 25, 2026) found Americans broadly disapproving, and Quinnipiac's July 29, 2026 poll had 6 in 10 voters opposed. Majority opposition held all year.. Applied stored rule: National public opinion polling shows a majority of Americans opposing US military action against Iran.

Outcome evidence

Quinnipiac's March 9, 2026 national poll found over half of voters opposed US military action against Iran (74% opposed ground troops); Marist in March 2026 had 56% opposed, Pew (Mar 25, 2026) found Americans broadly disapproving, and Quinnipiac's July 29, 2026 poll had 6 in 10 voters opposed. Majority opposition held all year.

Outcome date: 2026-03-09

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-01

Basis: research