Record #5144

Democrats will not win the open Iowa U.S. Senate seat in the November 2026 midterms

Krystal Ball: On Breaking Points · Prediction made 2026-01-28

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #51442026-01-28
Breaking Points · 1/28/26: Noem Trashes Stephen Miller, Ilhan Omar Attacked, ICE Revolt, MAGA Turns On Trump
Original quote
the people that I've spoken with in the state actually feel like Democrats have a shot there and maybe even an outside shot at an open Senate seat. That is that is you know up this time around, now, I'm not going to like put my eggs in that basket. I think it's still unlikely.
Timestamp not recorded
Full episode · omny.fm

Prediction time2026-01-28

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-28

FirmnessLoose

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-11-03

Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

The Republican candidate wins the open Iowa U.S. Senate seat in the November 2026 general election

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: The Republican candidate wins the open Iowa U.S. Senate seat in the November 2026 general election Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.