Record #3534

James Talarico will not win the Texas U.S. Senate seat in November 2026

John Podhoretz: On Commentary Magazine · Prediction made 2026-05-29

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #35342026-05-29
Commentary Magazine · The Ceasefire Two-Step
Original quote
The more I read about the Democrat James Tellerico, the more it seems absolutely science fictional to me that he can actually make it into the Senate.
Jump to quote · 1:00:42
Full episode on YouTube

Prediction time2026-05-29

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-29

FirmnessLoose

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-11-03

Boldness58 · Notable

How the call settles

Texas's November 2026 U.S. Senate results show Talarico losing (Paxton or another Republican wins the seat).

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Texas's November 2026 U.S. Senate results show Talarico losing (Paxton or another Republican wins the seat). Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.

Polling contextjames-talarico

Margin 4.0 points · as of 2026-05-29 · Source