Record #3512
The Iran war will end the way Podhoretz prefers - with the Iranian regime decapitated and Iran's nuclear program declared/verified finished (he puts it at 70-30 odds)
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #3512 Commentary Magazine · Wars of Choice
Original quoteWe have no idea that that's where this is going, by the way. In fact, I think it's at 70, 30 odds that it goes in the way that I would prefer it to go.
Jump to quote · 06:37
Prediction time2026-05-08
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-05-08
FirmnessLoose
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve byopen
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
The Iran conflict concludes with the Iranian regime's leadership decapitated/removed and Iran's nuclear program publicly declared and verified as ended, rather than an inconclusive settlement
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: The Iran conflict concludes with the Iranian regime's leadership decapitated/removed and Iran's nuclear program publicly declared and verified as ended, rather than an inconclusive settlement Deadline or event: open.