Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #8212

The United States Senate will confirm Todd Blanche as attorney general by August 7, 2026.

Incorrect · near miss

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #8212

    Bannon War Room · Episode 5565: We Are Running Out Of Time To Stop Asylum Seekers From Staying In The US

    Original quote
    They'll vote along party lines basically. So he will be confirmed probably on Thursday or Friday.
    Quote begins at 45:46
Prediction time2026-08-04

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-08-04
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-08-07
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if the Senate votes to confirm Todd Blanche as attorney general on or before August 7, 2026; NO if it rejects the nomination or has not confirmed him by the end of that date.

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because The Senate confirmed Todd Blanche as attorney general 50-49 at 4:17 a.m. on August 8, 2026, roughly four hours after this prediction's August 7, 2026 deadline for confirmation.. Applied stored rule: YES if the Senate votes to confirm Todd Blanche as attorney general on or before August 7, 2026; NO if it rejects the nomination or has not confirmed him by the end of that date. Approved near miss: Confirmation occurred in the early hours of August 8, 2026, about one calendar day after the August 7, 2026 deadline.

Outcome evidence

The Senate confirmed Todd Blanche as attorney general 50-49 at 4:17 a.m. on August 8, 2026, roughly four hours after this prediction's August 7, 2026 deadline for confirmation.

Outcome date: 2026-08-07

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12

Basis: research

Near-miss context

Confirmation occurred in the early hours of August 8, 2026, about one calendar day after the August 7, 2026 deadline.