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Record #8192

The 2026 United States House majority will be decided by no more than five seats, and the decisive races will have margins below 10,000 votes.

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #8192

    Bannon War Room · Episode 5562: Locking Up Fauci; AI Goes Rogue

    Original quote
    The this is going to come down to a handful of house seats and the razors edge on that or the gaps on that are going to be in the hundreds, maybe the thousands of votes. So this is going to be as tight as you can ever imagine just to hold serve and holding serve ain't great, right?
    Quote begins at 45:47
Prediction time2026-08-03

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-08-03
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-30
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if the certified 2026 House result gives the majority party a margin of five seats or fewer and every race necessary to that majority is decided by fewer than 10,000 votes; NO if either the majority margin exceeds five seats or at least one race necessary to the majority is decided by 10,000 votes or more.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if the certified 2026 House result gives the majority party a margin of five seats or fewer and every race necessary to that majority is decided by fewer than 10,000 votes; NO if either the majority margin exceeds five seats or at least one race necessary to the majority is decided by 10,000 votes or more. Deadline or event: 2026-11-30.