Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #8149

Iran will retaliate against the next United States strike by July 31, 2026.

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #8149

    MeidasTouch · Thursday Afternoon Breaking Updates with Ben 7/30/26

    Original quote
    The US I'm sure will strike Iran. Iran will strike back.
    Quote begins at 1:00:58
Prediction time2026-07-30

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-07-30
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-07-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if, after a new United States strike occurring after the episode, Iran launches a reported direct or proxy military attack against United States forces or facilities by the end of July 31, 2026; NO if the United States strikes and no such Iranian retaliation occurs by then. If the United States does not strike by then, leave unresolved because the stated sequence was not triggered.

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because Iran's IRGC announced it struck US military assets at Kuwait's Ahmad Al-Jaber and Ali Al Salem air bases with kamikaze drones on July 31, 2026, explicitly calling it retaliation for the US strikes on Qeshm island a day earlier.. Applied stored rule: YES if, after a new United States strike occurring after the episode, Iran launches a reported direct or proxy military attack against United States forces or facilities by the end of July 31, 2026; NO if the United States strikes and no such Iranian retaliation occurs by then. If the United States does not strike by then, leave unresolved because the stated sequence was not triggered.

Outcome evidence

Iran's IRGC announced it struck US military assets at Kuwait's Ahmad Al-Jaber and Ali Al Salem air bases with kamikaze drones on July 31, 2026, explicitly calling it retaliation for the US strikes on Qeshm island a day earlier.

Outcome date: 2026-07-31

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12

Basis: research