Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #8148

The United States will conduct another direct military strike on Iran by July 31, 2026.

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #8148

    MeidasTouch · Thursday Afternoon Breaking Updates with Ben 7/30/26

    Original quote
    So over the next few hours, maybe even right now, I haven't seen it, the US I'm sure will strike Iran.
    Quote begins at 1:00:51
Prediction time2026-07-30

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-07-30
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-07-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if the United States launches a newly reported direct air, missile, or drone strike on Iranian territory after the episode and by the end of July 31, 2026; NO if it does not.

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because US Central Command conducted a new wave of strikes on Iran overnight July 30-31, 2026, hitting IRGC targets on Qeshm island, Fars, Kish, Bushehr, Khuzestan and Hormozgan in retaliation for Iranian strikes on US bases in Jordan.. Applied stored rule: YES if the United States launches a newly reported direct air, missile, or drone strike on Iranian territory after the episode and by the end of July 31, 2026; NO if it does not.

Outcome evidence

US Central Command conducted a new wave of strikes on Iran overnight July 30-31, 2026, hitting IRGC targets on Qeshm island, Fars, Kish, Bushehr, Khuzestan and Hormozgan in retaliation for Iranian strikes on US bases in Jordan.

Outcome date: 2026-07-30

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12

Basis: research