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Record #8147

The Houthis will strike additional oil refineries in Saudi Arabia by August 13, 2026.

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #8147

    MeidasTouch · Thursday Afternoon Breaking Updates with Ben 7/30/26

    Original quote
    So what I expect to happen shortly is the Houthis, obviously, part of the axis of resistance with Iran will now strike more refineries in Saudi Arabia. So I expect that to happen.
    Quote begins at 08:51
Prediction time2026-07-30

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-07-30
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-08-13
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if a Houthi missile, drone, or other military strike hits or damages at least one additional Saudi Arabian oil refinery after July 30 and by August 13, 2026; NO if no such strike occurs in that interval.

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because The Houthis struck a Saudi Arabian oil refinery twice inside the window running after July 30 and through August 13, 2026. On August 9, 2026 a Houthi drone hit Saudi Aramco's refinery at Jizan on the Red Sea coast, starting a fire that Saudi Arabia later said was extinguished; Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree claimed the strike. On August 13, 2026 the Houthis targeted the same Aramco Jazan refinery for a second.... Applied stored rule: YES if a Houthi missile, drone, or other military strike hits or damages at least one additional Saudi Arabian oil refinery after July 30 and by August 13, 2026; NO if no such strike occurs in that interval.

Outcome evidence

The Houthis struck a Saudi Arabian oil refinery twice inside the window running after July 30 and through August 13, 2026. On August 9, 2026 a Houthi drone hit Saudi Aramco's refinery at Jizan on the Red Sea coast, starting a fire that Saudi Arabia later said was extinguished; Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree claimed the strike. On August 13, 2026 the Houthis targeted the same Aramco Jazan refinery for a second time in under a week. Either strike alone satisfies the preregistered criterion of at least one additional Saudi refinery hit or damaged in the window. The claim as stated came true.

Outcome date: 2026-08-09

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-16

Basis: research