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Record #8129

An independent candidate will win Idaho's 2026 U.S. Senate election.

Ben Meiselas: On MeidasTouch · Prediction made

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #8129

    MeidasTouch · Trump Blindsided as MAGA Turns Against Him

    Original quote
    There's a chance that the independent wins that Senate seat in Idaho as well. And a Republican can be, can lose their seat right there.
    Quote begins at 18:20
    Show feed · feeds.megaphone.fm
Prediction time2026-07-29

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-07-29
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if certified results name a candidate who was not nominated by the Republican or Democratic Party as the winner; NO otherwise.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if certified results name a candidate who was not nominated by the Republican or Democratic Party as the winner; NO otherwise. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.