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Record #7912

At least 70% of independent voters will vote for Democratic candidates in the 2026 federal midterm elections.

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7912

    MeidasTouch · MeidasTouch Full Podcast - 1/23/26

    Original quote
    So I think you're looking at in a generic ballot somewhere in the range of 70% or more of independence going to be voting for Democrats. And I think that's going to make a big deal at the midterms.
    Jump to quote · 1:16:28
Prediction time2026-01-23

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-23
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if authoritative national exit polling or validated national voter-file analysis shows at least 70% of self-identified independent voters voted for Democratic federal candidates in the 2026 midterms; NO if the measured Democratic share is below 70%.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if authoritative national exit polling or validated national voter-file analysis shows at least 70% of self-identified independent voters voted for Democratic federal candidates in the 2026 midterms; NO if the measured Democratic share is below 70%. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.