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Record #7883

The Supreme Court will strike down President Trump's tariff regime and will not uphold his asserted tariff power.

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7883

    The Megyn Kelly Show · Trump Makes Greenland Case in Davos, and Explosive New Busfield Details, with RealClearPolitics, Dave Aronberg and Mike Davis | Ep. 1235

    Original quote
    I'm sorry to tell you. I think Trump's tariff regime is going to get struck down I do not think he has any real hope of the Supreme Court upholding it I hope I'm wrong but the argument did not go well for the government and I do not think Trump's tariff power is gonna last much longer
    Quote begins at 40:27
Prediction time2026-01-21

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-21
FirmnessFirm
TopicEconomy
Resolve by2026-06-30
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if the Supreme Court's merits decision by June 30, 2026, invalidates President Trump's challenged tariff regime or holds that he lacks the asserted authority to impose it; NO if the Court upholds that authority and leaves the challenged regime legally valid.

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because The Supreme Court's February 20, 2026 decision in Learning Resources v. Trump held 6-3 that Trump lacked authority under IEEPA to impose his tariff regime, invalidating the tariffs and confirming he did not have the asserted power, well before the June 30, 2026 resolve_by date.. Applied stored rule: YES if the Supreme Court's merits decision by June 30, 2026, invalidates President Trump's challenged tariff regime or holds that he lacks the asserted authority to impose it; NO if the Court upholds that authority and leaves the challenged regime legally valid.

Outcome evidence

The Supreme Court's February 20, 2026 decision in Learning Resources v. Trump held 6-3 that Trump lacked authority under IEEPA to impose his tariff regime, invalidating the tariffs and confirming he did not have the asserted power, well before the June 30, 2026 resolve_by date.

Outcome date: 2026-02-20

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12

Basis: research