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Record #7828

United States service members will be killed in the conflict with Iran, and their deaths will be used to deepen United States involvement in the war.

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7828

    The Young Turks · Revisionist History - The Young Turks January 14, 2026

    Original quote
    At some point, we're going to lose some service members and they're going to use that to drag us more into war.
    Quote begins at 2:23:26
Prediction time2026-01-15

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-15
FirmnessFirm
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve by2029-01-20
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if U.S. service members are killed in direct connection with the Iran conflict and the administration or military then cites those deaths to justify a material escalation of U.S. military involvement by 2029-01-20; NO if both parts of the stated claim have not occurred by that date.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if U.S. service members are killed in direct connection with the Iran conflict and the administration or military then cites those deaths to justify a material escalation of U.S. military involvement by 2029-01-20; NO if both parts of the stated claim have not occurred by that date. Deadline or event: 2029-01-20.