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Record #7771

The federal government will shut down because Democrats refuse to fund ICE in the January 2026 funding fight.

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7771

    Bannon War Room · Episode 5063: Populist Tear For Economics; SCOTUS Hearing On Transgender Athletes

    Original quote
    But I think right now we're heading to a government shutdown because I think the Democrats are sitting there going to dig in and say, hey, we're not going to fund ICE.
    Quote begins at 42:16
Prediction time2026-01-13

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-13
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-01-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if a lapse in federal appropriations begins by January 31, 2026 and the unresolved funding of ICE or the Department of Homeland Security is a material cause; NO if no such funding lapse begins by that date.

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because A federal funding lapse began at the January 31, 2026 deadline; Senate Democrats withholding votes over unresolved ICE/DHS funding (demanding reforms after the fatal CBP shooting of Alex Pretti) was the material, publicly reported cause of the shutdown.. Applied stored rule: YES if a lapse in federal appropriations begins by January 31, 2026 and the unresolved funding of ICE or the Department of Homeland Security is a material cause; NO if no such funding lapse begins by that date.

Outcome evidence

A federal funding lapse began at the January 31, 2026 deadline; Senate Democrats withholding votes over unresolved ICE/DHS funding (demanding reforms after the fatal CBP shooting of Alex Pretti) was the material, publicly reported cause of the shutdown.

Outcome date: 2026-01-31

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12

Basis: research