Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #7730

Israel will conduct another military strike or operation against Iran after January 9, 2026.

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7730

    The Bulwark · Anne Applebaum and Jacob Frey: Using Lies to Justify Violence

    Original quote
    I think that if you follow Israeli news, it doesn't seem like they're done. I think the BB told Donald Trump that it was a one and done, but I don't think that's how Israel sees it.
    Quote begins at 1:09:07
Prediction time2026-01-09

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-09
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-12-31
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if Israel publicly acknowledges, or multiple credible sources confirm, an Israeli kinetic military strike or covert kinetic operation against a target in Iran after January 9 and on or before December 31, 2026; NO if no such action occurs by then.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if Israel publicly acknowledges, or multiple credible sources confirm, an Israeli kinetic military strike or covert kinetic operation against a target in Iran after January 9 and on or before December 31, 2026; NO if no such action occurs by then. Deadline or event: 2026-12-31.