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Record #7721

Anti-ICE mobilizations in New York City, Minneapolis, or Portland will produce additional violence during the January 9-11, 2026 weekend.

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7721

    Bannon War Room · Episode 5055: All Invaders Must Go

    Original quote
    You're going to have more provocations. You're going to have more violence.
    Quote begins at 19:52
Prediction time2026-01-09

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-09
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-01-11
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if, after the episode and by the end of January 11, 2026, a documented anti-ICE mobilization in New York City, Minneapolis, or Portland includes an assault, arson, weapons use, or physical clash causing injury or material property damage; NO if no such additional violent incident occurs by the deadline.

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because On Friday night, January 9, 2026, an anti-ICE protest in downtown Minneapolis turned violent: protesters threw snow, ice and rocks at officers and vehicles, smashed windows and spray-painted the Depot Renaissance Hotel causing roughly $6,000 in property damage, one officer sustained minor injuries, and 30 people were arrested -- a documented physical clash with injury and material property damage within the January.... Applied stored rule: YES if, after the episode and by the end of January 11, 2026, a documented anti-ICE mobilization in New York City, Minneapolis, or Portland includes an assault, arson, weapons use, or physical clash causing injury or material property damage; NO if no such additional violent incident occurs by the deadline.

Outcome evidence

On Friday night, January 9, 2026, an anti-ICE protest in downtown Minneapolis turned violent: protesters threw snow, ice and rocks at officers and vehicles, smashed windows and spray-painted the Depot Renaissance Hotel causing roughly $6,000 in property damage, one officer sustained minor injuries, and 30 people were arrested -- a documented physical clash with injury and material property damage within the January 9-11 window.

Outcome date: 2026-01-09

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12

Basis: research