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Record #7697

The 2028 Republican presidential nomination will be actively contested rather than a coronation of JD Vance.

Megyn Kelly: On The Megyn Kelly Show · Prediction made

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7697

    The Megyn Kelly Show · Whining Walz and Crying Dokoupil, with Mark Halperin, and Truth About UFOs, with David Grusch and Rep. Anna Paulina Luna | Ep. 1225

    Original quote
    But it is interesting to me when you think about 2028 Mark because, okay, well, well, Marco says if JD wants it, it's JD's. There's going to be a fight within the party because the more neo-Kani right prefers Marco Rubio, who's I wouldn't call him a neo-Kani, but he's certainly more neo-Kani friendly. And JD Vance is not. And I think, you know, the more isolationist, what are you non-interventionalists right is definitely going to prefer JD. And I've already seen some of my more neo-Kani friends online say, hold on, hold on, hold you slow your role. It's not going to be a coronation of JD Vance.
    Quote begins at 48:00
    Full episode · siriusxm.com
Prediction time2026-01-07

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-07
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2028-12-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if at least one Republican other than JD Vance formally contests the 2028 nomination and receives at least 5 percent of the vote in any binding Republican presidential primary or caucus; NO if Vance is selected without any opponent reaching that threshold. If Vance does not seek the nomination, leave the prediction unresolved because the asserted coronation scenario never arises.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if at least one Republican other than JD Vance formally contests the 2028 nomination and receives at least 5 percent of the vote in any binding Republican presidential primary or caucus; NO if Vance is selected without any opponent reaching that threshold. If Vance does not seek the nomination, leave the prediction unresolved because the asserted coronation scenario never arises. Deadline or event: 2028-12-31.