Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #7667

A U.S. federal government shutdown will begin when current funding expires on January 30, 2026.

Incorrect · near miss

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7667

    MeidasTouch · Trump Faces Full Revolt in House as Veto Backfires

    Original quote
    Also there will be a government shutdown that is set to take place on January 30th.
    Jump to quote · 05:36
Prediction time2026-01-05

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-05
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-01-30
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if a lapse in federal appropriations begins on January 30, 2026, causing any federal agencies or programs to enter shutdown status; NO if funding is extended or enacted without a shutdown beginning that day.

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because Federal funding remained in place through January 30, 2026; the resulting lapse actually began January 31, 2026 at 12:01am ET (driven by the DHS/ICE funding dispute), one day after the predicted January 30, 2026 date, not on January 30 itself.. Applied stored rule: YES if a lapse in federal appropriations begins on January 30, 2026, causing any federal agencies or programs to enter shutdown status; NO if funding is extended or enacted without a shutdown beginning that day. Approved near miss: The shutdown began January 31, 2026, one calendar day after the predicted January 30, 2026 date.

Outcome evidence

Federal funding remained in place through January 30, 2026; the resulting lapse actually began January 31, 2026 at 12:01am ET (driven by the DHS/ICE funding dispute), one day after the predicted January 30, 2026 date, not on January 30 itself.

Outcome date: 2026-01-30

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12

Basis: research

Near-miss context

The shutdown began January 31, 2026, one calendar day after the predicted January 30, 2026 date.