Record #7473
Iran will develop a nuclear weapon following the 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7473 Pivot · Starmer Resigns, Reflecting Pool Fiasco, and Amazon Dumps OpenAI Movie
Original quoteExcept that Iran will then develop a nuclear weapon.
Quote begins at 14:41
Prediction time2026-06-23
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-06-23
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve byopen
Boldness70 · Bold
How the call settles
Iran is confirmed by the IAEA or US intelligence to have produced a nuclear weapon
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Iran is confirmed by the IAEA or US intelligence to have produced a nuclear weapon Deadline or event: open.