Record #7379
Donald Trump will NOT be impeached by January 1, 2027, contrary to prediction markets pricing it around 70%
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7379 Pivot · Kash Patel Sues, Trump's Psychedelics Push, and Netflix’s Podcast Bet
Original quotethat there's about a 70% chance that Trump is impeached by January 1st. So these markets are saying these markets are predicting that the wheels are coming off the bus here, which I find really unlikely here
Quote begins at 10:50
Prediction time2026-04-21
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-04-21
FirmnessLoose
TopicOther
Resolve by2027-01-01
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
No article of impeachment against President Trump is adopted by the U.S. House before January 1, 2027
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: No article of impeachment against President Trump is adopted by the U.S. House before January 1, 2027 Deadline or event: 2027-01-01.