Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #7379

Donald Trump will NOT be impeached by January 1, 2027, contrary to prediction markets pricing it around 70%

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7379

    Pivot · Kash Patel Sues, Trump's Psychedelics Push, and Netflix’s Podcast Bet

    Original quote
    that there's about a 70% chance that Trump is impeached by January 1st. So these markets are saying these markets are predicting that the wheels are coming off the bus here, which I find really unlikely here
    Quote begins at 10:50
Prediction time2026-04-21

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-21
FirmnessLoose
TopicOther
Resolve by2027-01-01
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

No article of impeachment against President Trump is adopted by the U.S. House before January 1, 2027

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: No article of impeachment against President Trump is adopted by the U.S. House before January 1, 2027 Deadline or event: 2027-01-01.